{
  "export": {
    "source": "P0lytics",
    "endpoint": "/v1/p0lytics/budget/stress",
    "selection": {},
    "retrieved_at": "2026-11-11T00:57:00.899Z",
    "note": "payload är P0lytics svar oförändrat. PRESS0 har inte beräknat, avrundat eller filtrerat något. Evidensstatus finns i payload.",
    "epistemic": {
      "status": "counterfactual",
      "label": "Kontrafaktiskt (utfallet om …)",
      "genesis": "model",
      "source": "p0lytics stress-scenario (villkorligt)"
    }
  },
  "payload": {
    "route": "/budget/stress",
    "scenario": {
      "shock_bp": 100,
      "lag_quarters": 2,
      "horizon_quarters": 8,
      "decay_per_quarter": 0.9,
      "assumptions": "shocks ihållande samtliga år; modellantaganden deklarerade per modul"
    },
    "rate_path_pct": [
      "0",
      "0",
      "0.9",
      "0.81",
      "0.729",
      "0.6561",
      "0.59049",
      "0.531441"
    ],
    "debt_interest_impact_SEK_million": "25302.18600000",
    "debt_path_stress_vs_baseline": {
      "baseline": [
        "29.70373786407766990291262136",
        "29.41035205957206145725327552",
        "29.11981466093543950135761265",
        "28.83209801374189154503375233",
        "28.54717473205507706401400717"
      ],
      "stressed": [
        "29.995",
        "29.990",
        "29.985",
        "29.980",
        "29.975"
      ],
      "state": "MODEL_ESTIMATE — aldrig observed"
    },
    "sensitivity_runtime": "p0lytics/scenarios.py::sensitivity_local + monte_carlo (seed-versionerad)",
    "conditional_only": "alla resultat villkorade av angivna antaganden",
    "exact_state_url": "/budget/stress?shock_bp=100.0&lag_q=2&horizon_q=8",
    "table": [
      {
        "q": 1,
        "rate_pct": "0"
      },
      {
        "q": 2,
        "rate_pct": "0"
      },
      {
        "q": 3,
        "rate_pct": "0.9"
      },
      {
        "q": 4,
        "rate_pct": "0.81"
      },
      {
        "q": 5,
        "rate_pct": "0.729"
      },
      {
        "q": 6,
        "rate_pct": "0.6561"
      },
      {
        "q": 7,
        "rate_pct": "0.59049"
      },
      {
        "q": 8,
        "rate_pct": "0.531441"
      }
    ]
  }
}